Wintergreen Resort

Wintergreen, VA

Currently

Temperature 51.46°F
Feels Like 48.38°F
Humidity 44%
Pressure 1014mb
Wind 8.05mph from the
Clear sky 51°F Clear sky
This Afternoon Mostly Sunny
High: 46°F Low: 33°F
Friday Mostly Sunny
High: 51°F Low: 42°F
Saturday Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Light Rain
High: 59°F Low: 49°F
Sunday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Light Rain
High: 61°F Low: 46°F
Monday Chance Light Rain
High: 57°F Low: 47°F
Summary

SYNOPSIS

... Low pressure will continue to slide by to our east today before pushing off to the northeast and strengthening on Friday. High pressure will build to our south on Friday, resulting in gusty winds over the region. Multiple upper level disturbances will pass overhead this weekend into early next week resulting in generally unsettled weather.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As low pressure slides by to our east this afternoon, some rain is still being observed over far southern Maryland, and that will likely continue through the late afternoon at this point before finally pushing off to the east. Elsewhere it is dry, though remaining cloudy east of the Blue Ridge. To the west however, substantial clearing has occurred and much lower dew points are rushing in behind the cold front that pushed through this morning. Starting to see an uptick in the winds as well out west, and that will make its way across much of the region later this afternoon into the evening.

Any remaining clouds should largely clear out by this evening. However, another shortwave will dive through the larger trough late tonight, bringing a return of some clouds and a brief period of upslope snow showers. Snow amounts should generally be less than one inch. Overnight lows will be in the 30s for most of the area (upper 20s along the higher ridges of the Allegheny Front).

Winds will sharply increase with the arrival of this next shortwave tonight. A Wind Advisory was issued for Grant, Highland, and Pendleton counties for gusts up to 50 mph. This should really pick up between 3-6 AM and likely continue through Friday.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... The aforementioned low pressure system will track toward the Canadian Maritimes on Friday as high pressure simultaneously builds to our south. A strong pressure gradient over the region will be the result, with gusty northwesterly winds expected across the area. Gusts will generally range from 30-45 mph, but could be even up to 50 mph in the mountains. As mentioned in the near term section above, Wind Advisories will continue through 8 PM Friday along the Allegheny Front. While there is some potential for Wind Advisories further east, the best certainty for now was out west. There is still a bit of uncertainty regarding the height of the inversion and how aligned the winds will be with height. Any slight deviations in either of those 2 variables could keep us just below advisory criteria. Will leave the final decision to a later forecast cycle at this time. Any lingering clouds will clear through the day, and high temperatures will range from the upper 40s in the mountains to the lower to middle 60s across Central Virginia.

Relative humidity values are expected to crash tomorrow in strong northwest flow to around 20 to 25 percent. This paired with the strong winds could lead to an elevated fire danger Friday afternoon. More on that in the fire danger section below.

Friday night should remain dry although with some increase in clouds. A thermal gradient will begin to develop across the area as warm advection begins ahead of a low pressure system in the Great Lakes. This will result in lows in the mid 30s across northeast Maryland to the lower to mid 40s across the central Shenandoah Valley and central Virginia.

This warm front will remain draped across the area through Saturday as the low tracks toward the Mid Atlantic. The track of this low and the warm frontal position will have influence on high temperatures (50s north/60s to near 70 south) as well as where the most rain falls. The highest rain chances currently stretch across the eastern West Virginia panhandle and northern Maryland. Clouds may linger Saturday night along with some rain showers along the Alleghenies. Lows will be in the 40s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... A warm front lingering around the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic through the weekend will bring clouds and some shower activity. Currently the greatest chance for precipitation on Sunday is along the Alleghenies, expanding eastward from there with 20-30 PoPs but generally remaining west of I-95 during the day.

Low pressure approaches from the west Monday into Tuesday, bringing greater chances of rain for the start of the week. Guidance has trended colder after the system exits Wed/Thurs, bringing possible upslope snow along the Alleghenies to finish off the extended.

Temperatures will be well above normal Sunday with highs in the 60s to 70s outside of the mountains, and closer to normal for the start of the week (50s to 60s) as the next low pressure system moves through. Behind the system will be near to slightly below normal.

Wintergreen Resort
Slopeside Cam
Blue Ridge Express