|Dew Point:||40.0°F (4.4°C)|
|Wind:||From the SSE at 7.5 MPH Gusting to 15.0 MPH|
|Sea Level Pressure:||25.79" (873.2 mb)|
Lo 51 °F
Lo 50 °F
Lo 56 °F
Lo 60 °F
Lo 59 °F
Rain and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 51. East wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Rain likely before 11am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Southwest wind 8 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Breezy, with a west wind 13 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Breezy, with a west wind 17 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
A slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. West wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
ern Caribbean, overriding cooler air which has wedged southward to a position near the VA/NC border. Much of the convective activity this evening has remained in the warm sector, with precipitation becoming more of a stratiform rain as it spreads northward and into our region. This general trend is expected to continue for the overnight hours with widespread rain moving across the region. Some elevated instability will move overhead, so a few embedded non-severe thunderstorms are possible.
Overall, looking at a moderate soaking rain, with total amounts ranging from 0.5-1.5". Where/if elevated convection develops, there may be localized heavier amounts. Some heavier amounts are also possible along the Blue Ridge and southeast-facing slopes as easterly flow increases overnight. While rates are not expected to be high enough to raise much of a true flash flood concern, there may be some localized minor flooding of small creeks/streams and in low lying and urban/poor drainage areas. Will continue mention in HWO.
Temperatures tonight pretty much remain where they are this evening, in the 50s to around 60F.
SHORT TERM /7 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... A dry slot will cause rain to dissipate for a period Thursday morning...but surface low pressure will build overhead by Thursday afternoon. The cutoff upper-level low will also move overhead during the day. A southerly flow ahead of the low will allow for moderate amounts of instability. Popup showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop later Thursday morning and afternoon. Thunderstorms may contain gusty winds and hail due to colder air aloft associated with the upper-level low.
The low pressure will move away from the area Thursday night and the cold front associated with this system will pass through Thursday evening before moving off to the east and northeast Thursday night.
Low pressure will continue to move up the New England Coast Friday. Breezy conditions are expected behind the low. A popup shower cannot be ruled out...but most of the time will be dry and seasonable. High pressure will briefly build overhead Friday night.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Brief dry period expected Saturday morning. An upper level shortwave trough could increase PoPs Saturday afternoon into the evening before a boundary settles near/over our CWA Saturday night into Sunday. A cold front then slowly moves across Sunday night into Monday. Showers and thunderstorms possible during this period. Conditions begin to dry out on Tuesday before another weaker front approaches on Wednesday.
High temperatures will be in the 70s and low 80s... some 60s at higher elevations.